Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000101 0.000112 0.000124 0.000137 0.000152 0.000168 0.000187
2025-12-14 0.000086 0.000101 0.000118 0.000139 0.000163 0.000191 0.000226
2025-12-21 0.000075 0.000092 0.000113 0.000139 0.000172 0.000212 0.000263
2025-12-28 0.000065 0.000084 0.000107 0.000138 0.000178 0.000229 0.000299
2026-01-04 0.000059 0.000079 0.000104 0.000140 0.000188 0.000252 0.000344
2026-01-11 0.000053 0.000074 0.000101 0.000140 0.000196 0.000272 0.000386
2026-01-18 0.000049 0.000069 0.000097 0.000140 0.000202 0.000290 0.000427
2026-01-25 0.000044 0.000065 0.000094 0.000139 0.000207 0.000307 0.000467
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000061 0.000091 0.000139 0.000213 0.000325 0.000511
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000058 0.000088 0.000137 0.000216 0.000339 0.000550
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000055 0.000085 0.000136 0.000220 0.000356 0.000593
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000052 0.000083 0.000137 0.000226 0.000374 0.000641
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000049 0.000081 0.000135 0.000230 0.000389 0.000686
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000048 0.000080 0.000137 0.000239 0.000416 0.000754
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000046 0.000079 0.000138 0.000246 0.000438 0.000816
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000044 0.000076 0.000137 0.000250 0.000456 0.000871
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000043 0.000076 0.000139 0.000259 0.000484 0.000949
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000075 0.000139 0.000266 0.000507 0.001019
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000040 0.000073 0.000139 0.000271 0.000528 0.001085
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000138 0.000274 0.000546 0.001149
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000037 0.000070 0.000138 0.000280 0.000568 0.001224
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000035 0.000068 0.000136 0.000281 0.000583 0.001283
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000034 0.000066 0.000136 0.000285 0.000602 0.001353